Flood Warning expires at 8:00 AM on 4/18, issued at 10:44 AM Bryceville, FL | Callahan, FL | Fernandina Beach, FL | Glen Saint Mary, FL

Atlantic Quiet

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Updated: 8/07/2013 9:36 am
The Atlantic Basin -- for the first week of Aug. -- remains amazingly tranquil.....full of dry mid & upper level air & very high shear "zones"

A huge area of dry mid & upper level air continues from the Caribbean east for hundreds of miles across the Atlantic. Overall conditions remain unsuitable for significant tropical development as shear generally remains high too.  An upper level low is spinning -- & very noticeable on the image below -- just east of the Bahamas.  This system will move west the next few days but no surface development is expected.

Shear is still strong over much of the Atlantic Basin exceeding 40 knots(!) over parts of the Caribbean...exceeding 50 knots over the SW Atlantic....& 20+ knots over the Gulf of Mexico....

Tropical waves are struggling as they move west off the coast of Africa.  Little development expected at this time with the few waves that are westbound.  Dry air is very evident on the IR satellite below - note the patchy light gray colored clouds which are stratocumulus clouds - indicative of a stable air mass.

The Pacific, on the other hand, is a far busier basin (& could be a hint of an uptick in Atlantic activity later this month).  Hurricane "Henriette" won't be too far to the south & east of Hawaii by the weekend though far weaker.  The last advisory has been issued on "Gil".

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