Flood Warning expires at 8:00 PM on 4/28, issued at 10:03 AM Bryceville, FL | Callahan, FL | Fernandina Beach, FL | Glen Saint Mary, FL

Atlantic Quiet....

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Updated: 8/06/2013 8:24 am
The Atlantic Basin -- for the first week of Aug. -- is amazingly tranquil.....full of dry mid & upper level air & very high shear "zones"

A huge area of dry mid & upper level air continues from the Caribbean east for hundreds of miles across the Atlantic.  In fact, Saharan dust has traveled west all the way to the Lesser Antilles & Puerto Rico.  Overall conditions remain unsuitable for significant tropical development as shear generally remains high too.

Shear is still strong over much of the Atlantic Basin exceeding 50 knots(!) over parts of the Caribbean...exceeding 40 knots over the SW Atlantic....& 20+ knots over the Gulf of Mexico....

Tropical waves are struggling as they move west off the coast of Africa.  Little development expected at this time with the few waves that are westbound.

The Pacific, on the other hand, is a far busier basin (& could be a hint of an uptick in Atlantic activity later this month).  "Henriette" has become a hurricane & won't be too far to the south & east of Hawaii by the weekend though far weaker.  "Gil" is moving west & is also in the Central Pacific but will stay well south of Hawaii.

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