remnants are north of Puerto Rico & headed west for the Bahamas. There are obvious indications of west & southwest shear working the wave over but convection has generally been pretty strong. Shear will become even stronger through Tue...exceeding 40 mph. This shear should shred the wave even more. By mid to late week -- once near Fl. -- the shear will relax considerably but that point it will probably be too late for much significant reorganization. Heavy rain squalls & gusty winds will affect the Bahamas Tue.-Wed. & possibly parts of Fl late Wed.-early Fri. The wave should be near Fl. or over the Eastern Gulf by late week.
Forecast model plots below courtesy S. Fl. Water Management District:
In the Central Pacific...tropical storm "Flossie" is headed for Hawaii but is weakening. "Flossie" is expected to reach the big island & Maui through early Tue. with sustained winds of 40-50 mph. Heavy rain, strong winds and rough seas & surf will affect Hawaii through Tue.