"Melissa" Is a Little Stronger
Subtropical "Melissa" over the Central Atlantic....
remains over the Central Atlantic well to the east/southeast of Bermuda & still has subtropical appearance as an intrusion of very dry air now is wrapping in from the backside. A large trough over the W/NW Atlantic (that was responsible for the Sunday tornado outbreak in the midwest & Ohio Valley & now represented by the band of convection advancing east toward "Melissa") will turn the storm north & northeast keeping the system over the open Atlantic. "Melissa" could become a purely tropical storm & even flirt with hurricane intensity through Wed. before encountering increasing shear & cooler sea surface temps. though dry air wrapping into the system will probably make such a process a little more difficult. "Melissa" is no threat to the U.S. or any land areas for that matter.
Convection has developed over the W. Gulf of Mexico on the tail end of the cold front that moved through the First Coast Mon. evening. No tropical development is expected.
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