Flood Warning expires at 8:00 PM on 4/28, issued at 10:03 AM Bryceville, FL | Callahan, FL | Fernandina Beach, FL | Glen Saint Mary, FL

Remnant Low That Was "Gabrielle"

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Updated: 9/05/2013 11:47 pm
"Gabrielle" has officially become a remnant low.  Shear has had its way with the system but heavy rain will continue over Puerto Rico & the Virgin Islands through Fri.  The remnant low will hook up with a cool front & upper trough over the weekend & move north then northeast.  There's some chance for regeneration as the system moves into the Central Atlantic late in the weekend/early next week.

There will be no impact on the First Coast or any of Florida....

From the S. Florida Water Management District:

Scattered convection has increased over the Gulf of Mexico, & low pressure might be trying to develop over the Western/SW Gulf of Mexico.  Limited development is possible, but the system will soon move into Mexico -- no impact on any of Fl.

A large area of dry mid & upper level air (black & rust colored areas on the water vapor satellite image below) continues over the Central Atlantic.

Shear remains significant over much of the Atlantic Basin -- as can be seen below -- 20+ knots over the Gulf of Mexico... 20+ knots over parts of the Caribbean... 50+ knots(!) over the Central Atlantic.  Until & unless the shear relaxes, tropical cyclones will generally struggle in this environment.

Tropical waves continue to march off the coast of Africa but are less than impressive.  Models are showing more persistent/potentially significant development in the Central & Eastern Atlantic next week, but it's questionable as to whether or not any of the systems can make it west across the Atlantic given the weather pattern that appears to be setting up over the Atlantic -- a series of upper level troughs.

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