Flood Warning expires at 10:03 PM on 4/23, issued at 10:03 PM Fort White, FL | Lake City, FL | Lulu, FL

Tropical Storm WARNING Parts of Mexico

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Updated: 6/19/2013 8:20 am
Tropical Depression #2 In the SW Corner of the Gulf.....

Tropical depression #2 has re-emerged over the warm water of the Bay of Campeche in the SW corner of the Gulf of Mexico.  There has been at least some resurgence of strong convection particularly in the northern & northeast semicircle of the poorly organized storm.  There's a short window for #2 to become tropical storm "Barry" as the system bends to the west so a tropical storm WARNING is in effect for a portion of the Eastern Mexico coast.  The system will stay far to the south of Texas & will have no impact on the First Coast or any of Florida.

The rest of the Gulf & Caribbean are remarkably quiet & even clear of much in the way of cloud cover until the large area of disorganized convection in the extreme Eastern Caribbean & SW Atlantic east & southeast of Puerto Rico.  This is a combination of an upper level low to the north & a westward moving tropical wave.  Forecast models do pick up on this wave moving it into the Gulf of Mexico this weekend.  Current conditions are not favorable for significant development but become a little better late in the week/weekend.  However, models fail to develop a surface reflection (low pressure) at this point.  The wave should enhance heavy rain potential for the south half of Fl. Fri. into parts of the weekend.

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