• Talking the Tropics With Mike: Stalled front over the Caribbean

    By: Michael Buresh

    Updated:

    Nov. 15, 2017 - Photos: Must-see photos of Irma damage in Jacksonville area .... hurricane Irma recap

    The "Buresh Bottom Line": Always be prepared!..... City of Jacksonville Preparedness Guide... Georgia Hurricane Guide.  

    A stationary front continues to hang over the Caribbean producing disorganized showers & thunderstorms.  We'll need to watch this area for possible slow low pressure development which could then become tropical but no evidence of such just yet.

    Images below from the Storm Prediction Center showing tornadoes (preliminary counts) spawned by U.S. landfalling tropical cyclones.  The great majority were associated with "Harvey" - 57.  The 119 for the year ranks 4th since 1995 only behind 2008, 2005 & 2004.

    Interesting map below tweeted by Erik Pindrock shows virtually all of Fl. has experienced at least tropical storm force winds this year... as well as the entire Gulf Coast... & as far north as N. Carolina on the east coast:

    Deep oceanic heat content continues to wane as we go deeper into fall.....

    Sea surface temp. anomalies:

    East Atlantic IR satellite:

    Mid & upper level wind shear (enemy of tropical cyclones) analysis (CIMMS). 

    SE U.S. surface map:

    Surface analysis centered on the tropical Atlantic:

    Surface analysis of the Gulf:

    Caribbean:

    Extensive hurricane Irma recap - click here.

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